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Polymarket

Polymarket is a prediction market company. On 2026-09-14 it saw 9X NFL and college football volume increase and captured 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of launch, challenging incumbents.

Knowledge quality 50/100Profile updated
In brief

Polymarket is a company operating prediction markets. On 2026-09-14, it recorded a 9X increase in NFL and college football prediction market volume. On the same date, coverage reported that Polymarket captured 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of its launch. The surge in volume highlights Polymarket’s growing role as an information aggregation tool, though operational challenges were noted. Its rapid market share gain suggests increased competition and innovation in the US sports prediction market, challenging incumbents such as Kalshi. The recorded timeline for 2026-09-14 lists these as development and product launch milestones. No founding date, country, or sector details are provided in the evidence.

Overview

Polymarket is a company operating prediction markets. On 2026-09-14, it recorded a 9X increase in NFL and college football prediction market volume. On the same date, coverage reported that Polymarket captured 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of its launch. The surge in volume highlights Polymarket’s growing role as an information aggregation tool, though operational challenges were noted. Its rapid market share gain suggests increased competition and innovation in the US sports prediction market, challenging incumbents such as Kalshi. The recorded timeline for 2026-09-14 lists these as development and product launch milestones. No founding date, country, or sector details are provided in the evidence.

Recent developments

On 2026-09-14, Polymarket saw a 9X increase in NFL and college football prediction market volume. It captured 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of launch, indicating competition in the US sports prediction market. The coverage noted operational challenges and growing role as information aggregation tools.

History

On 2026-09-14, Polymarket recorded a 9X increase in NFL and college football prediction market volume and captured 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of its launch.

Historical context

The recorded timeline for 2026-09-14 shows the same developments as the recent coverage: a 9X volume increase and capturing 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of launch.

Risk factors

Coverage on 2026-09-14 noted operational challenges in Polymarket’s prediction market operations.

Technology

Polymarket operates blockchain-based prediction markets that allow bettors to trade on event outcomes such as elections and global events.

Outlook

Will Polymarket maintain its 9X NFL and college football volume increase? How will incumbents like Kalshi respond to the 44% market share capture? What operational challenges will affect Polymarket’s prediction markets?

Latest coverage

20 stories
CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade

Bitcoin Magazine CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade The CFTC is reportedly probing whether Polymarket broke its 2022 settlement by letting US users onto its offshore platform. This post CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman .

Regulation ·
Polymarket US launches 5-minute crypto up or down markets

The rapid trading format could increase market volatility and attract speculative traders, impacting broader crypto market dynamics. The post Polymarket US launches 5-minute crypto up or down markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

Markets ·
Polymarket Adds Five-Minute Crypto Contracts to US App

The BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP markets use CF Benchmarks prices, with ties settling Up and taker fees charged separately from the spread.

Bitcoin ·
Polymarket traders give Robinhood 87% odds of beating Q3 earnings

High odds of Robinhood beating earnings highlight market sentiment but thin trading volume suggests caution; investor focus shifts to strategic updates. The post Polymarket traders give Robinhood 87% odds of beating Q3 earnings appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

Exchanges Business ·
CFTC probes Polymarket’s controls and advertising activity

The CFTC's probe into Polymarket highlights regulatory challenges in overseeing blockchain prediction markets, impacting future compliance norms. The post CFTC probes Polymarket’s controls and advertising activity appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

Regulation ·
A $3M Hedge, a Midterm Test and Retail's Rise: Prediction Markets at NEXTPredict

Chuck Todd called markets a "fact checker" for journalism, as Kalshi, Polymarket and Robinhood pitched contracts well beyond elections.

Markets ·
More reporting
Polymarket investigates dozens of midterm election bets for insider trading
Regulation ·
NBA names Kalshi, Polymarket preferred exchanges, signs CFTC deal
Exchanges Business ·
NBA becomes third league to sign CFTC prediction market pact, taps Kalshi and Polymarket
Regulation ·
Anthropic targets November IPO as Polymarket traders bet on $ANT ticker
Exchanges Business ·
CFTC developing new rules for crypto exchanges to register with US regulators
Regulation ·
Anthropic IPO Filing Puts “ANT” on Nasdaq: Could the Claude Maker Debut Bigger Than Bitcoin?
Bitcoin ·
NBA Names Kalshi a Preferred Prediction Market Exchange
Exchanges Business ·
Brazil Election Results Spark Debate Over Prediction Markets After Lula Wins at 20% Odds
Ethereum ·
Polymarket Pushes Out Marketing Chief Modabber, a Longtime Friend of CEO Coplan: Report
Markets ·
Polymarket has reportedly fired its marketing chief, also a close friend of the CEO
Markets ·
Polymarket traders put roughly 10% odds on an AI bubble burst by year-end
Markets ·
Polymarket US sues Ohio over sports contracts enforcement
Regulation ·
Polymarket US vs. Kalshi: What a 100
Markets ·
Founders Fund Made Polymarket CEO Coplan Repay Expenses; ICE Joins Push for COO: Report
Markets ·

Timeline

80 recorded events
  1. 27 Oct 2026Enforcement
    Polymarket Faces Renewed CFTC Probe Over Whether It Broke 2022 Settlement: Report

    Investigators are reportedly examining how Polymarket checked where its users were, how it marketed in the US and how its newer US platform onboards customers. The post Polymarket Faces Renewed CFTC Probe Over Whether It Broke 2022 Settlement: Report appeared first on Unchained .

  2. 27 Oct 2026Product Launch
    Polymarket US launches 5-minute crypto up or down markets

    The rapid trading format could increase market volatility and attract speculative traders, impacting broader crypto market dynamics. The post Polymarket US launches 5-minute crypto up or down markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

  3. 27 Oct 2026Development
    Polymarket Adds Five-Minute Crypto Contracts to US App

    The BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP markets use CF Benchmarks prices, with ties settling Up and taker fees charged separately from the spread.

  4. 27 Oct 2026Development
    Polymarket traders give Robinhood 87% odds of beating Q3 earnings

    High odds of Robinhood beating earnings highlight market sentiment but thin trading volume suggests caution; investor focus shifts to strategic updates. The post Polymarket traders give Robinhood 87% odds of beating Q3 earnings appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

  5. 27 Oct 2026Development
    CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade

    Bitcoin Magazine CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade The CFTC is reportedly probing whether Polymarket broke its 2022 settlement by letting US users onto its offshore platform. This post CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman .

  6. 27 Oct 2026Enforcement
    CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade

    Bitcoin Magazine CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade The CFTC is reportedly probing whether Polymarket broke its 2022 settlement by letting US users onto its offshore platform. This post CFTC Again Probes Polymarket Over Whether It Let Americans Trade first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman .

  7. 27 Oct 2026Development
    CFTC probes Polymarket’s controls and advertising activity

    The CFTC's probe into Polymarket highlights regulatory challenges in overseeing blockchain prediction markets, impacting future compliance norms. The post CFTC probes Polymarket’s controls and advertising activity appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

  8. 27 Oct 2026Regulation
    CFTC probes Polymarket’s controls and advertising activity

    The CFTC's probe into Polymarket highlights regulatory challenges in overseeing blockchain prediction markets, impacting future compliance norms. The post CFTC probes Polymarket’s controls and advertising activity appeared first on Crypto Briefing .

Quick facts

4 fields
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Company
Name
Polymarket
Ticker
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Blockchain
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Frequently asked

What recent volume change did Polymarket see in football markets?
On 2026-09-14, Polymarket saw a 9X increase in NFL and college football prediction market volume.
What market share did Polymarket capture from Kalshi?
Polymarket captured 44% of Kalshi’s football volume within months of launch as reported on 2026-09-14.