As the market recovers, Bitcoin (BTC) is kicking off the weekend on a positive note by reclaiming another crucial support level. Some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a new price discovery rally, which could start sooner than expected.
Earlier this week, BTC reclaimed the $115,000-$117,000 area, which served as a key support zone during the early Q3 rally, before surging to the crucial $120,000 barrier on Thursday.
He explained that a daily close above $120,000, followed by a successful post-breakout retest, has historically preceded a move to the $123,00 resistance, with a nearly identical daily performance leading to the mid-August all-time high (ATH) of $124,474.
“BTC historically bottoms in September. Since 2016, Bitcoin has bottomed 7 times in September. (…) Historically, this means BTC bottom is most likely in and it won’t go lower than $107K,” he asserted.
As the flagship cryptocurrency is on the “cusp of entering Price Discovery Uptrend 3,” Rekt Capital also shared a potential timeline for Bitcoin’s cycle top based on its previous post-halving performances.
If it had repeated its 2017 timeline, BTC would have had to peak around September, meaning that the August ATH was the cycle top. The analyst dismissed this possibility, suggesting that a repeat of its 2021 price action was more likely. In this case, BTC would need to peak in the next two weeks.
“If we are looking at the four-year cycle, the most important thing is to just wrap everything up in candle one. That’s historically what’s been the case,” he explained. “So, at least two weeks and maybe still a month and a half to a maximum of two months. But beyond that, I don’t think we’ll be lengthening.”
