XRP is pressing against a structurally important ceiling at roughly $3.10, and a clean breach could open the way to $9, according to crypto analyst The Great Mattsby (@matthughes13). In a video analysis published on October 5, the analyst anchors his outlook in multi-cycle Fibonacci extensions, Ichimoku trend support and long-term moving averages, arguing the market is staging an unusually strong basing pattern at historically elevated levels.
“XRP is still battling… this $3.10 zone. This is the 2.272 Fibonacci extension level… we’ve never seen a monthly candle close above that 309986,” he said, noting that the same extension grid “was the exact 2018 top,” while “extensions below the 1.272 was the bottom in April 2020.” On his read, the confluence lends credibility to the next extension target: “The next level is $9… So essentially, it’s only a matter of time.”
Trend metrics, he argues, have supported the advance without breaking structure. On the monthly timeframe, XRP has “been maintaining and riding [the Ichimoku] conversion line as a support ever since it broke out in November of last year.” He identifies that conversion line near $2.63 and emphasizes that “it has never closed any kind of monthly candle below it.”
The market structure, Mattsby contends, is constructive: a breakout, retest and series of higher highs and higher lows at elevated levels. On the highest-level view, he frames the price action as a regime shift from resistance to support across cycles. “This is the previous resistance zone… 2021 it was the top. 2017–2018 it was the top—not including the wicks. But now this box we are actually just flipping it to support, building a base on top of it,” he said. He called that flip “the most bullish thing ever on any chart,” adding, “This has never happened for XRP.”
Mattsby repeatedly returns to the same trigger: a decisive monthly close through the $3.10 area. “We should be excited because once this $3.10 gets broken, it’s going to go higher, right? It’s going to go to probably $9, maybe even higher, maybe $13, maybe more,” he said.
In practice, the roadmap he lays out is simple: protect the long-term trend markers while the 50-week average closes the distance, keep monthly structure above the Ichimoku conversion line near $2.63, and respect the historical importance of the $3.10 extension.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.99.