Dogecoin’s next inflection could arrive as soon as October 22–23, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed, who argues that the memecoin’s multi-month rising channel will either confirm with a higher low in the $0.16–$0.18 region or give way to another full “round trip” into year-end.
The case rests on a recurring confluence he has been tracking for months: Dogecoin tagging a channel support trendline while the daily RSI presses into oversold, followed by improvement in his macro read on M2 turning bullish into month-end.
VisionPulsed places an unusual emphasis on timing. He sees confirmation if Dogecoin establishes a higher low before October 22–23, with the precise price print less important than preserving the structure. “If it ends up being a higher low, which could technically be either 18 cents or 16 cents… it doesn’t matter. We would be holding the trend line,” he said. A failure to do so would, in his view, push any durable reversal beyond the horizon: “If we end up crashing into November anyway, then we’re not going up. It’s that simple. There’s no more time left.”
The week-to-week whipsaw through mid-year underscores the point, he argues: “In June, it was over and then by July we’re back. Then in August, it was over. And then in September we were back. In October it’s over. And November we’re probably back.”
Still, the analysis is framed against a candid acknowledgement of Dogecoin’s stalled cycle. “We’ve been making Dogecoin videos for almost two… it’s been two years now and the price has done nothing,” he said. “Three years ago Dogecoin was 16 cents and now it’s 18 cents… the price of Dogecoin has not moved in almost three years.”
The stagnation is why he views this fourth year of the four-year cycle as make-or-break. If the channel fails or, conversely, if the market rallies but cannot break out by December, he expects another “round trip”: “If we make it to December and we still didn’t get out of the channel, then it’s going to be bearish again and we’re going to round trip again.”
Tactically, he anticipates one more test of support into the weekend before any reversal attempt. “We’re probably going to back test it this weekend. We’re probably going to see another sell-off,” he said. “If we can form a higher low, then that would confirm that the bottom is in and we could see a reversal higher.”
He concluded: “It doesn’t really take that long for Dogecoin to really recover,” stressing the coin’s capacity for sharp mean-reversions once structure is respected. “But we have to hold the bottom of the channel first before we can start talking about a reversal point.”
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.183.
