Notably, these altcoins’ outperformances have drawn significant interest from derivative traders, leading to a corresponding rise in open interest — the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, e.g, futures or options, that have not yet been settled, i.e., closed, exercised, or expired.
The crypto market expert shares that historical data from Coinalyze shows that the last two times altcoin open interest surged above that of Bitcoin were in March 2024 and December 2024. After each event, many altcoins popularly formed a local market peak in the following two weeks.
Therefore, while the present market fundamentals indicate traders are on the brink of an altseason, Pillows’ revelation indicates it would be a brief parabolic market. However, the peculiarity of the present market cycle, which is largely driven by institutional demand, suggests that any correction could be shallower than in past cycles, with capital rotating more sustainably between Bitcoin and major altcoins.
Notably, several altcoin spot ETFs are also expected to be approved for trading in October, which could provide a structural inflow of liquidity, extend the rally beyond a short-lived spike.