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Reading: Bitcoin 30-Day Correlation To Gold Drops – Macro Shift Or Noise?
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The cryptonews hub > Blog > Market > Bitcoin 30-Day Correlation To Gold Drops – Macro Shift Or Noise?
Market

Bitcoin 30-Day Correlation To Gold Drops – Macro Shift Or Noise?

Crypto Team
Last updated: May 20, 2025 5:22 am
Crypto Team
Published: May 20, 2025
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wp header logo 561 Bitcoin 30-Day Correlation To Gold Drops – Macro Shift Or Noise?

Bitcoin saw a sharp reversal on Sunday, surging to $107,000 before retracing over 4% in just a few hours — a classic fakeout that has left the market shaken. The rejection at local highs has sparked debate among top analysts: some warn of a looming correction as BTC struggles to break into price discovery, while others remain bullish, expecting a breakout above the all-time high around $109,000. This volatility underscores growing investor uncertainty amid a lack of clear macro drivers.

Bitcoin is currently navigating a critical zone, with bulls urgently defending the $100,000 mark to maintain bullish momentum. After briefly touching $107,000 over the weekend, BTC experienced a sharp 4% retrace, signaling growing indecision and sparking a wave of concern among investors. The price now hovers near key short-term support, and while the long-term structure remains bullish, failure to hold $100K could trigger further downside into lower demand zones.

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Despite the sell-off, many traders believe the path forward still holds upside potential. Liquidity clusters remain just above the $105,000 level, and a breakout above this region could ignite a rally into new all-time highs near $109,000. However, the lack of follow-through following Sunday’s breakout attempt has shaken market sentiment, with some participants anticipating a broader correction before any sustained move higher.

As Bitcoin consolidates and prepares for its next move, all eyes are on the $100K support level and the $105K-$109K resistance zone. If bulls can defend this key structure and reclaim momentum, the stage will be set for price discovery. But if support fails, a deeper retracement could follow — possibly resetting bullish expectations in the short term.

Bitcoin’s price action on the daily chart reveals a sharp rejection near the $107,000 level, followed by a swift retracement to the $103,000 zone. The recent wick to the upside marked a potential fakeout above previous resistance, indicating heavy selling pressure at the highs. This has triggered a 3.36% pullback on the day, with BTC currently trading around $102,943.

Despite the drop, the broader structure remains bullish as long as Bitcoin stays above the critical $100,000 support level. The 200-day SMA at $92,801 and the EMA at $88,469 offer deeper structural support, but bulls will aim to defend the psychological $100K mark to maintain momentum. A daily close below $100K could invite further selling and shake confidence in the current rally.

Volume on the retracement is notable but not extreme, hinting that the selloff may still be part of a broader consolidation rather than a full trend reversal. For upside confirmation, BTC must reclaim and hold the $105,000–$107,000 area to challenge its all-time high near $109K. Until then, traders should watch for price stability above $100K or risk a deeper correction as volatility remains elevated.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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