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Reading: Bitcoin Balance On Exchanges Shrinks – Supply Shock Ahead?
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The cryptonews hub > Blog > Market > Bitcoin Balance On Exchanges Shrinks – Supply Shock Ahead?
Market

Bitcoin Balance On Exchanges Shrinks – Supply Shock Ahead?

Crypto Team
Last updated: May 11, 2025 4:19 pm
Crypto Team
Published: May 11, 2025
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wp header logo 265 Bitcoin Balance On Exchanges Shrinks – Supply Shock Ahead?

Bitcoin is holding firm around the $104,000 mark after a sharp rally driven by days of sustained buying pressure and renewed market optimism. Bulls regained control when BTC reclaimed the $90,000 level in late April, reversing months of aggressive selling that had weighed on price action. The shift in sentiment has been clear, with bullish momentum building quickly and pushing the market back into key supply zones.

Supporting this trend, on-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that over 110,000 BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past month. Historically, large outflows from centralized platforms signal growing investor confidence and reduced sell-side liquidity—two key components of strong upward trends. This behavior often precedes major rallies, as long-term holders tighten supply while sidelining coins from near-term trading.

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Bitcoin is now preparing to test uncharted territory after enduring months of heavy selling pressure and persistent market skepticism. Following a strong recovery since late April, BTC is currently finding resistance around the $105,000 level — a critical price point that could define the next phase of the cycle. This area, just shy of the all-time high, is likely to attract both profit-taking and speculative interest, which may result in increased volatility before a decisive breakout.

If bulls manage to push above the $105K mark, a surge toward new all-time highs would be imminent. However, this level also represents a psychological barrier that could trigger a short-term rejection. Despite this, the underlying data supports a strong bullish outlook.

This behavior suggests that the recent rally is not just fueled by speculative hype but also supported by structural shifts in supply. As BTC supply tightens and demand increases, particularly with institutional flows rising, the setup for a sustained breakout strengthens. While some short-term resistance may persist, the broader trend now favors the bulls. If exchange outflows continue at this pace and macro sentiment remains stable, Bitcoin could soon enter a price discovery phase, leaving behind the range that defined its movement for much of 2025.

Bitcoin is trading around the $104,000 mark after a powerful breakout rally that started in late April. As shown in the daily chart, BTC surged through the $90K resistance and cleared $100K with strong momentum, but is now facing resistance near $104K–$105K, a zone that previously acted as a major supply region during the February highs.

The chart reveals that BTC is consolidating just below this resistance with a small retrace and declining volume, suggesting a cooling of momentum after several days of aggressive buying. This isn’t necessarily bearish — short pauses are common before retesting key levels, especially when RSI and volume stretch. The 200-day moving average (SMA) and exponential moving average (EMA) remain well below the current price, showing that bulls maintain structural control.

The key levels to watch now are $103,600 (short-term support) and $104,900–$105,500 (resistance zone). A clean break above this range would open the path toward new all-time highs. Conversely, a failure to break higher may lead to a retest of the breakout zone near $100K. Overall, price action remains bullish, but the next few candles will be decisive for short-term trend continuation.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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