Bitcoin is entering a pivotal moment after failing to secure a close above the highly watched $125,000 all-time high. The rejection at this level triggered a sharp retrace, leaving bulls defending critical demand zones around $110,000–$112,000. This range is now seen as the line in the sand that could determine whether BTC resumes its bullish trajectory or faces deeper consolidation.
Market analysts remain divided. Some highlight the resilience of buyers who continue to absorb selling pressure and maintain higher lows. Others, however, warn that failing to reclaim momentum soon could give bears the upper hand and accelerate a correction.
Top analyst Axel Adler expressed caution, noting that large sellers have appeared on centralized exchanges in recent sessions. According to Adler, what’s concerning is that these sellers seem to lack proper execution strategies such as TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price), which could amplify volatility and put further pressure on short-term price action.
This Ethereum frenzy, fueled by both whale accumulation and institutional inflows, has contributed to Bitcoin’s current stall. While ETH rallies toward new highs and captures market liquidity, BTC has consolidated, failing to generate the same momentum seen earlier in the year. For many analysts, this isn’t necessarily bearish—it reflects a rotation of capital within the crypto ecosystem.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is testing its previous ATH zone as support, a critical level that bulls must defend. Holding this range could validate the current consolidation as healthy before a new push higher. However, a failure here could open the door to deeper corrections, especially if capital rotation into ETH continues at the current pace.
The daily Bitcoin chart shows price under pressure after failing to sustain momentum above $123K and reversing sharply lower. BTC is now trading near $111,829, just above the 100-day moving average at $111,567, which is emerging as critical short-term support. The 50-day moving average at $116,544 has flipped into resistance after last week’s breakdown, highlighting a weakening bullish structure.
This zone around $111K–$112K is decisive. A confirmed close below would open the door for deeper downside, potentially targeting the 200-day moving average near $100,866, which coincides with a major psychological threshold at $100K. On the upside, bulls must reclaim the $115K–$116K region to regain momentum and set up another attempt at the $123K ATH.
Price action shows that sellers have recently been in control, as reflected by consecutive lower highs and a failure to hold demand above $115K. However, as long as BTC maintains the 100-day MA, the broader uptrend remains intact, suggesting this could develop into a consolidation phase rather than a full reversal.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
