Veteran chartist Peter Brandt ignited a fresh technical debate on X after publishing two annotated charts—one of today’s Bitcoin daily bars, the other of Chicago Board of Trade soybeans from 1977—arguing that the cryptocurrency may be carving out a broadening top akin to the historical commodity pattern that preceded a 50% collapse.
“In 1977 Soybeans formed a broadening top and then declined 50% in value,” Brandt wrote. “Bitcoin today is forming a similar pattern. A 50% decline in $BTC will put MSTR underwater. Whether I am right or wrong, you have to admit this old guy has the gonads to make big calls.”
Brandt’s side-by-side comparative overlay is central to his thesis. The soybean chart marks an “Ascending Megaphone” that resolved sharply lower, while his current Bitcoin chart shows an expanding range bounded by rising upper and lower trendlines with a highlighted “sell zone” near the mid-range around $114,800. While the upper boundary sits just above $125,000, the lower trendline now tracks a descending band around $102,000–$100,000.
The BTC panel also includes short-term moving averages (8-period and 18-period) and a modestly elevated ADX reading, capturing a market that has been volatile within a widening corridor rather than trending cleanly. On Brandt’s rendering, recent bounces have stalled beneath a horizontal resistance band, consistent with the “sell zone” annotation.
He also acknowledged the alternative read from Hunt: “I’ll be first to admit you could be right. I am willing to go with it in either direction. If BTC goes up I want to be long, if it goes down I want to be short.”
At press time, BTC traded at $107,998.
