It’s been just over a year since the latest Bitcoin halving, and the price is now hovering near all-time highs after reaching $112,000 earlier this week. BTC is holding strong at current levels, consolidating just below peak resistance, and momentum is quietly building. Many traders and analysts believe a massive breakout could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.
According to insights from Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock), this cycle is unfolding with some familiar patterns—and a few notable differences. Historically, Bitcoin tends to spend the first year after a halving in a prolonged consolidation phase before entering its strongest rally. However, this time around, BTC spiked earlier than expected but then paused for several months as high interest rates and tighter macro conditions weighed on risk appetite.
Bitcoin is holding steady near its all-time highs, and the market is beginning to show signs of renewed bullish momentum. As uncertainty grows in global markets, Bitcoin appears to be positioning itself for a continuation of its uptrend. Analysts with high conviction are now calling for major price surges, citing both technical strength and improving on-chain signals.
Still, the broader pattern remains intact. Sentora notes that in most cycles, Bitcoin peaks tend to emerge 1.5 to 2 years after the halving—a timeline that shifts the spotlight to 2025. This suggests that current consolidation, while frustrating to some, could be part of a healthy and structured market setup before the next explosive move.
With price action stabilizing above $100K and key on-chain metrics remaining strong, the long-term outlook remains bullish. If BTC can maintain current support and break through resistance in the coming weeks, the groundwork for a much larger rally could soon be in place. For now, the market is watching closely—but conviction among seasoned analysts is building. Bitcoin may be entering the quiet before the storm.
Bitcoin is closing the week near $108,000 after reaching a new all-time high, marking what could become the strongest weekly close in its history. The weekly chart shows clear breakout strength above the previous resistance zone around $103,600, now flipped into support. This level had capped price action for months, but the latest surge confirms bulls are firmly in control.
BTC has posted four consecutive green weekly candles, with increasing body size and strong closes, indicative of a sustained trend. The 34-week EMA sits at $87,966, far below current levels, underscoring the strength of this move and how extended BTC is from mid-range averages. Importantly, volume has remained relatively stable during the breakout, showing that the move is being supported, not exhausted.
As long as Bitcoin remains above the $103,600–$105,000 zone, the uptrend is intact. If the price consolidates around current levels without significant sell pressure, it could form the base for a push toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold $103K could invite deeper retracements.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
