Cardano’s mood music has flipped. Even as ADA has rebounded about five percent from its late-August lows, on-chain analytics firm Santiment says the asset’s typically optimistic retail crowd has swung to its most negative stance in five months.
In an X post accompanying its sentiment chart, the firm wrote: “Cardano has quietly seen its normally optimistic crowd start to turn bearish. After the lowest sentiment recorded in 5 months, $ADA’s price is +5%. Patient holders and dip buyers during this three week downswing should root for this trend of bearish retailers to continue.”
The graphic shared by the firm plots ADA’s price against a running ratio of bullish versus bearish social commentary and annotated three distinct phases over the past month: an early-August “greed” spike where the bullish-to-bearish ratio surged to roughly 12.8:1 and was followed by a pullback; a mid-August “fear” pocket near 2.0:1 that preceded a rally; and, most recently, the most bearish reading in five months around 1.5:1, coinciding with ADA’s +5% bounce.
The analyst’s chart places the 0.382 retracement near $0.821, which has acted as first support and the immediate “decision point.” Below that, the same mapping highlights the 0.309 retracement around $0.762 and the 0.236 near $0.702 as deeper pullback areas inside the macro structure.
Overhead, the analyst’s levels mark successive checkpoints at the 0.5 retracement near $0.879, the 0.618 near $1.043, the 0.702 around $1.083, the 0.786 near $1.151, and the 1.0 extension around $1.326—levels that also align with prior supply pockets and the upper boundary of the ascending channel later in the quarter.
At press time, ADA traded at $0.8177.
