Ethereum has run straight into its four-year ceiling, with price action pressing the $4,700 band that Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) repeatedly calls “the level that decides everything.” His latest broadcast frames ETH’s setup as binary: either a decisive break through this resistance — confirmed by a clean weekly close and a break of the down-trending weekly RSI line — or another rejection that extends a months-long pattern of weakening rallies.
That shock was the US Producer Price Index. “The PPI came in significantly hotter than expected,” Kevin said, emphasizing both the magnitude and where the pressure showed up: month-over-month +0.9% versus +0.2% expected, year-over-year 3.3% versus 2.5%, with core PPI +0.9% m/m versus +0.2% and 3.7% y/y versus 3.0%.
Technically, Kevin’s checklist for Ethereum does not change with one data print. He stresses two confirmations: take out the horizontal supply around $4,700 with authority and “break the weekly downtrend on the RSI” to nullify the bearish divergence that has persisted since Q1 2024. “Resistance is resistance until it’s not,” he said. Fail there, and ETH risks another corrective leg as late longs are forced out at the worst possible spot. Succeed, and “the entire conversation changes,” opening a path to what he calls a “real bull” in ETH and, by knock-on effect, in the broader alt market.
Operationally, he argues that the right trade location was behind us, not at resistance. “There’s no reason to be buying up in these crazy levels,” he said, advising patience for anyone positioned from lower. His framework is simple and strict: watch the weekly ETH chart, the $4,700 band, and the RSI trendline. If macro “stays steady,” he expects the break; if it deteriorates, he’ll reassess. Either way, the pivot won’t come from lower-timeframe noise but from ETH finally resolving its four-year wall.
“Focus on these charts and nothing else,” Kevin concluded. For Ethereum, that means one test, one level, and one signal: clear $4,700 and retire the divergence — or wait.
At press time, ETH traded at $4,619.
