The catalyst, Kevin explained, began with a rare monthly demand candle at major support — a formation that in past cycles preceded massive rallies. That was backed by multiple momentum indicators turning from extreme oversold levels.
The monthly Stock RSI showed what he described as an unprecedented “V-shaped turnaround,” the MACD histogram had been coiling tighter since late 2019, and whale money flow was reversing from the lowest readings in Ethereum’s history. “You’re now just seeing the monthly MACD cross at the apex of this pattern… right at the zero line,” he noted, framing it as the technical ignition point for a sustained breakout.
Still, Kevin stressed that Ethereum is not yet in open price discovery. The key resistance remains its previous all-time high at roughly $4,850. “We’re not in the clear… don’t be buying into four-year major historical resistance levels. That’s never smart. That will get you hurt,” he warned, noting that on the broader “Total 2” market cap chart for all altcoins excluding Bitcoin, the $1.71–$1.72 trillion zone is the last major “line in the sand.” Until those levels are broken on high time frames, he sees the market in a high-risk, high-reward posture.
For now, Kevin is content to acknowledge a rare technical alignment that he believes has already made history. “The ETH dominance call, the ETH versus Bitcoin call that we made a few months ago has played out beautifully… I think there will be pullbacks, but overall, we are on the back half of this bull market,” he said. Whether that back half erupts into price discovery hinges on one number: $4,850. Until then, Ethereum’s once-in-a-decade bull signal remains charged — but not yet fully unleashed.
At press time, ETH traded at $4,624.
