Bitcoin has reclaimed the $115,000 level, restoring momentum after weeks of uncertainty and signaling that bulls are regaining strength. The move comes as traders push back against selling pressure, with renewed optimism spreading across the market. For many, the rebound highlights Bitcoin’s resilience and its ability to bounce after testing key support levels.
Yet, not everyone feels convinced. Several analysts warn that despite the recent upside, Bitcoin may still face the risk of a deeper correction. The recovery looks promising, but the broader structure remains fragile, and cautious voices continue to dominate discussions. A failure to hold above $115,000 could once again expose the market to volatility and downside pressure.
Such transfers often signal that sellers, in this case Galaxy Digital, are actively reducing exposure, which can pressure the market during sensitive periods. While Bitcoin has managed to rebound from its recent lows near $108,000, these heavy sales create an overhang of supply that traders must absorb before a convincing uptrend can take hold. The timing adds even more weight, as Bitcoin enters a new stage marked by macro uncertainty.
The looming US government shutdown now stands as one of the biggest risk factors for global markets. Political deadlock in Washington threatens to disrupt financial stability and could trigger volatility across equities, bonds, and digital assets. For Bitcoin, this situation creates both risk and opportunity: on one hand, fear-driven selling could drag prices lower; on the other, Bitcoin’s role as a hedge may attract inflows from investors seeking protection.
Bitcoin is trading near $116,200 after a sharp rebound from last week’s lows around $109,000. The 8-hour chart highlights renewed bullish momentum, with price now pressing toward the key resistance zone at $117,500. This level has repeatedly capped rallies since late August, making it the line to watch for confirmation of a broader breakout.
The recent move higher also pushed BTC back above its 50-period (blue) and 100-period (green) moving averages, both of which had previously acted as resistance. The price is now consolidating above these levels, showing that bulls are regaining short-term control. However, the 200-period moving average (red) sits just overhead near $115,000, and Bitcoin has only just cleared it — leaving the breakout unconfirmed.
Momentum remains constructive, but the market still faces a pivotal test. A decisive close above $117,500 could invite stronger buying pressure, opening the door for a run toward $120,000 and potentially retesting the yearly highs near $125,000. Conversely, rejection at this level could trigger profit-taking, dragging the price back toward $114,000 or even $112,000.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
