However, the Bitcoin price seems to be leaning more toward a bearish setup, as suggested by the negative shift of a relevant technical indicator on a longer timeframe. Below is what happened to the price of BTC the last four times this indicator flipped bearish.
This bearish prediction is based on the changes in the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator, which shows the relationship between moving averages of an asset’s price (the Bitcoin price, in this context). Typically, a cross of the MACD line above the signal line is a bullish sign for the asset’s price.
The last time the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator turned bearish was in September 2021, starting the eventual descent of the market leader to around $16,000 mark in November 2022. As shown in the chart, the Bitcoin price fell by more than 70% in this period.
If history is to go by, this means that the price of BTC is at risk of a 70% decline over the next few months, putting the target at around $33,000 from the current price point.
As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $110,540, reflecting no significant change in the past 24 hours.
