CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has put a clear reference level on the current Bitcoin correction – but is adamant it should not be mistaken for a prediction.
His latest data briefing breaks the market into three layers: futures, spot, and on-chain.
In the futures market, Ju says the average order size shows that futures whales have left and retail now dominates. Internal flow profile (IFP) data indicates BTC inflows from spot to futures exchanges have collapsed, ending the phase when large players were posting BTC as collateral to go long.
On-chain metrics provide the context for the much-discussed $56,000 level. Ju observes that realized cap growth has stalled for three days, while market cap is growing more slowly than realized cap, a configuration he interprets as strong selling pressure as profitable coins move.
CryptoQuant’s PnL Index flipped short on November 8, which Ju summarizes as whales taking profit. “If the cycle theory holds, the cycle bottom would be around $56K (realized price),” he says – and immediately distances himself from treating that as a hard rule in a structurally changing market.
In a separate prediction segment, Ju turns to macro conditions. “Short-term conditions are weak: dollar liquidity is slow, funding markets are tight, and Bitcoin inflows have cooled,” he writes. However, he adds, “I do not expect Bitcoin inflows to stop or turn into sustained outflows over the next six months.”
He believes Bitcoin would benefit the most, while altcoins with weak narratives or no real performance would likely lose liquidity as capital concentrates in assets with clear utility or narrative strength.
“I gave up predicting Bitcoin price,” Ju reminds followers, “but I haven’t given up analyzing data.” His $56,000 reference is best understood in that spirit: a data-driven anchor derived from realized price and cycle theory, not a promise that this drawdown will end neatly at that line.
At press time, BTC traded at $91,659.
