Chainlink (LINK) has come under intense pressure, shedding more than 33% of its value since hitting local highs in May. The combination of escalating Middle East tensions and growing macroeconomic uncertainty—fueled by rising US Treasury yields and a cautious Federal Reserve—has shaken investor confidence across crypto markets. In this environment, bulls have lost control of LINK’s trend, and the price now searches for a solid support base.
Adding to the pressure, fresh on-chain data from Lookonchain reveals that noncirculating supply wallets associated with Chainlink deposited 17.875 million LINK—worth approximately $149 million—into Binance earlier today. This large inflow to a centralized exchange raises concerns about potential selling activity and has further weighed on market sentiment. Historically, Chainlink’s unlocks have often triggered volatile price action. While some of these events have preceded price rallies, current market conditions make any bullish response uncertain.
Chainlink continues to build fundamental strength through key partnerships and steady development, even as global tensions and macroeconomic instability weigh heavily on altcoin markets. With growing adoption across traditional finance and Web3 infrastructure, LINK’s long-term outlook remains robust. However, short-term price action tells a different story. Since peaking in May, Chainlink has seen a steep retracement, now down over 33%, and must defend current levels to avoid triggering a deeper correction.
Against the backdrop of escalating Middle East conflict and tightening financial conditions, most altcoins have lost ground relative to Bitcoin, and LINK has been no exception. Bitcoin dominance recently hit new highs, siphoning capital away from smaller-cap assets. As a result, Chainlink bulls are under pressure to protect key support levels and prevent further erosion of momentum.
Chainlink (LINK) is currently trading near $11.98 after breaking below key support zones that had previously held throughout Q2 2025. The daily chart clearly shows a persistent downtrend since mid-May, marked by a series of lower highs and lower lows. LINK has now lost over 33% since its May peak near $18, and the most recent candle confirms a clean breakdown below the $12 psychological level.
The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are all positioned above the current price, reflecting a strong bearish momentum. The 50-day SMA recently crossed below the 100-day SMA, reinforcing short-term weakness. Moreover, LINK is now trading at levels not seen since early November 2024, exposing the asset to further downside risk if no strong demand emerges soon.
This technical deterioration comes as Lookonchain data reveals that 17.875 million LINK (worth $149M) from noncirculating wallets was deposited into Binance—fueling fears of further selling pressure. While historically many unlock events were followed by recoveries, the current macroeconomic environment, combined with Bitcoin dominance surging and altcoins underperforming, may delay any bounce.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
